Track record

Every pick we've published

Every daily pick, published here after a two-week subscriber delay, with its outcome measured from daily market data. The original timestamped levels never change. Stops are shown alongside targets — nothing is removed.

Live performance

Measured from every published pick

Not a model, not a backtest — every number here is computed from the timestamped picks we published, measured against daily market data after the two-week subscriber delay.

50
picks measured
6 / 10
targets hit / stops hit
34
still open
38%
win rate on resolved picks
-0.3%
average pick return to date
+5.5%
average peak gain
-4.1%
average worst drawdown
+12.3% · V
best measured pick
-18.2% · MU
worst measured pick

Slate performance since the first pick

Alpha Insight slate S&P 500 Dow Jones
Oct 1Oct 2Oct 5Oct 6Oct 7Oct 8Oct 9Oct 12Oct 14Oct 16-0.85%0%0.85%1.7%2.55%

Method: each matured pick is held from its publication date, marked to market at each daily close, and frozen at its stop or target when that level is touched — same-day double-touch counts as the stop. The curve is the equal-weighted average across every pick published to date; stopped and losing picks stay in, nothing is removed. The S&P 500 and Dow Jones lines cover the same window. Targets are multi-week objectives, so resolution counts grow as picks mature. Informational research, not investment advice.

META

Meta Platforms, Inc. · Buy

Oct 5, 2026 · Conviction 86

Open -2.6%
Entry
$728.08
Target
$851.85
Stop
$677.11
Max gain
+5.9%
MSFT

Microsoft Corporation · Strong Buy

Oct 5, 2026 · Conviction 92

Open +2.2%
Entry
$517.53
Target
$595.16
Stop
$491.65
Max gain
+6.5%
BA

The Boeing Company · Buy

Oct 5, 2026 · Conviction 78

Open -1.7%
Entry
$193.56
Target
$230.34
Stop
$178.08
Max gain
+0.9%
NVDA

NVIDIA Corporation · Strong Buy

Oct 5, 2026 · Conviction 95

Stop hit Oct 15, 2026
Entry
$233.95
Target
$276.06
Stop
$217.57
Max gain
+4.0%
PLTR

Palantir Technologies Inc. · Buy

Oct 5, 2026 · Conviction 75

Open -1.4%
Entry
$188.75
Target
$235.94
Stop
$169.88
Max gain
+12.8%
GOOGL

Alphabet Inc. · Buy

Oct 5, 2026 · Conviction 90

Open -0.8%
Entry
$343.50
Target
$398.46
Stop
$322.89
Max gain
+4.6%
TSM

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited · Buy

Oct 5, 2026 · Conviction 87

Stop hit Oct 14, 2026
Entry
$472.78
Target
$534.24
Stop
$434.96
Max gain
+3.1%
NEE

NextEra Energy, Inc. · Buy

Oct 5, 2026 · Conviction 82

Open +3.9%
Entry
$76.83
Target
$82.98
Stop
$74.53
Max gain
+4.5%
AVUV

Avantis U.S. Small Cap Value ETF · Buy

Oct 5, 2026 · Conviction 85

Open +0.0%
Entry
$120.03
Target
$134.43
Stop
$114.03
Max gain
+1.4%
MU

Micron Technology, Inc. · Buy

Oct 5, 2026 · Conviction 80

Stop hit Oct 13, 2026
Entry
$1074.89
Target
$1289.87
Stop
$978.15
Max gain
+1.3%
MSFT

Microsoft Corporation · Strong Buy

Oct 3, 2026 · Conviction 92

Open +2.2%
Entry
$517.53
Target
$579.63
Stop
$491.65
Max gain
+6.5%
ASML

ASML Holding N.V. · Strong Buy

Oct 3, 2026 · Conviction 84

Stop hit Oct 13, 2026
Entry
$1867.31
Target
$2147.41
Stop
$1736.60
Max gain
+0.1%
ADBE

Adobe Inc. · Buy

Oct 3, 2026 · Conviction 75

Open +3.2%
Entry
$237.69
Target
$275.72
Stop
$216.30
Max gain
+7.9%
CAT

Caterpillar Inc. · Buy

Oct 3, 2026 · Conviction 82

Stop hit Oct 8, 2026
Entry
$845.42
Target
$929.96
Stop
$803.15
Max gain
+3.7%
GOOGL

Alphabet Inc. · Buy

Oct 3, 2026 · Conviction 89

Open -0.8%
Entry
$343.50
Target
$381.29
Stop
$322.89
Max gain
+4.6%
AVUV

Avantis U.S. Small Cap Value ETF · Buy

Oct 3, 2026 · Conviction 78

Open +0.0%
Entry
$120.03
Target
$136.83
Stop
$110.43
Max gain
+1.4%
XLU

Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund · Buy

Oct 3, 2026 · Conviction 85

Open +6.0%
Entry
$39.83
Target
$42.62
Stop
$38.64
Max gain
+6.2%
AMZN

Amazon.com, Inc. · Buy

Oct 3, 2026 · Conviction 86

Open -0.6%
Entry
$251.52
Target
$284.22
Stop
$233.91
Max gain
+4.8%
UNH

UnitedHealth Group Incorporated · Buy

Oct 3, 2026 · Conviction 90

Target hit Oct 15, 2026
Entry
$371.90
Target
$405.37
Stop
$357.02
Max gain
+11.4%
JPM

JPMorgan Chase & Co. · Buy

Oct 3, 2026 · Conviction 88

Open +2.2%
Entry
$332.38
Target
$365.62
Stop
$312.44
Max gain
+3.6%
UNH

UnitedHealth Group · Buy

Oct 2, 2026 · Conviction 85

Target hit Oct 13, 2026
Entry
$365.20
Target
$398.07
Stop
$350.59
Max gain
+13.4%
MSFT

Microsoft Corp · Strong Buy

Oct 2, 2026 · Conviction 92

Open +3.2%
Entry
$512.80
Target
$574.34
Stop
$487.16
Max gain
+7.5%
GOOGL

Alphabet Inc · Buy

Oct 2, 2026 · Conviction 82

Open +0.7%
Entry
$338.24
Target
$375.45
Stop
$317.95
Max gain
+6.3%
ASML

ASML Holding NV · Buy

Oct 2, 2026 · Conviction 72

Stop hit Oct 14, 2026
Entry
$1808.49
Target
$2079.76
Stop
$1663.81
Max gain
+3.6%
AMZN

Amazon.com Inc · Buy

Oct 2, 2026 · Conviction 89

Open +0.7%
Entry
$248.23
Target
$280.50
Stop
$233.34
Max gain
+6.2%
AVUV

Avantis U.S. Small Cap Value ETF · Buy

Oct 2, 2026 · Conviction 75

Open +0.8%
Entry
$119.10
Target
$135.77
Stop
$110.76
Max gain
+2.2%
XLU

Utilities Select Sector SPDR · Buy

Oct 2, 2026 · Conviction 78

Target hit Oct 15, 2026
Entry
$39.68
Target
$42.06
Stop
$38.49
Max gain
+6.6%
CRM

Salesforce Inc · Buy

Oct 2, 2026 · Conviction 77

Open +1.7%
Entry
$236.69
Target
$265.09
Stop
$220.12
Max gain
+6.4%
LLY

Eli Lilly and Co · Buy

Oct 2, 2026 · Conviction 70

Open +9.3%
Entry
$1149.85
Target
$1322.33
Stop
$1046.36
Max gain
+11.0%
JPM

JPMorgan Chase & Co · Buy

Oct 2, 2026 · Conviction 88

Open +2.0%
Entry
$333.18
Target
$366.50
Stop
$319.85
Max gain
+3.4%
AMZN

Amazon.com, Inc. · Strong Buy

Oct 1, 2026 · Conviction 88

Open +0.9%
Entry
$247.70
Target
$284.85
Stop
$227.88
Max gain
+6.5%
JPM

JPMorgan Chase & Co. · Buy

Oct 1, 2026 · Conviction 85

Open +2.4%
Entry
$331.80
Target
$364.98
Stop
$311.89
Max gain
+3.8%
EEM

iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF · Buy

Oct 1, 2026 · Conviction 75

Open -5.5%
Entry
$66.52
Target
$75.83
Stop
$61.19
Max gain
+3.5%
CRM

Salesforce, Inc. · Buy

Oct 1, 2026 · Conviction 79

Open +3.2%
Entry
$233.16
Target
$263.47
Stop
$214.50
Max gain
+8.1%
AVUV

Avantis US Small Cap Value ETF · Buy

Oct 1, 2026 · Conviction 72

Open +1.2%
Entry
$118.67
Target
$134.10
Stop
$107.99
Max gain
+2.6%
GOOGL

Alphabet Inc. · Buy

Oct 1, 2026 · Conviction 83

Open +0.8%
Entry
$337.72
Target
$374.87
Stop
$317.46
Max gain
+6.4%
MSFT

Microsoft Corporation · Strong Buy

Oct 1, 2026 · Conviction 92

Open +2.9%
Entry
$514.14
Target
$575.84
Stop
$488.43
Max gain
+7.2%
XLU

Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund · Buy

Oct 1, 2026 · Conviction 82

Target hit Oct 16, 2026
Entry
$39.48
Target
$42.25
Stop
$38.30
Max gain
+7.1%
V

Visa Inc. · Buy

Oct 1, 2026 · Conviction 84

Target hit Oct 15, 2026
Entry
$358.61
Target
$398.06
Stop
$337.09
Max gain
+12.9%
CAT

Caterpillar Inc. · Buy

Oct 1, 2026 · Conviction 76

Stop hit Oct 13, 2026
Entry
$826.29
Target
$925.44
Stop
$768.45
Max gain
+6.1%
XLU

Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund · Buy

Oct 1, 2026 · Conviction 85

Target hit Oct 16, 2026
Entry
$39.48
Target
$42.24
Stop
$38.30
Max gain
+7.1%
NFLX

Netflix, Inc. · Buy

Oct 1, 2026 · Conviction 74

Open +3.6%
Entry
$68.10
Target
$76.27
Stop
$64.01
Max gain
+7.3%
CAT

Caterpillar Inc. · Buy

Oct 1, 2026 · Conviction 76

Stop hit Oct 13, 2026
Entry
$826.29
Target
$917.18
Stop
$784.98
Max gain
+6.1%
MSFT

Microsoft Corporation · Strong Buy

Oct 1, 2026 · Conviction 92

Open +2.9%
Entry
$514.14
Target
$575.84
Stop
$488.43
Max gain
+7.2%
IWM

iShares Russell 2000 ETF · Buy

Oct 1, 2026 · Conviction 78

Open -3.1%
Entry
$278.98
Target
$318.04
Stop
$262.24
Max gain
+2.0%
GS

The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. · Buy

Oct 1, 2026 · Conviction 75

Open -1.4%
Entry
$893.54
Target
$1009.69
Stop
$830.99
Max gain
+4.2%
ASML

ASML Holding NV · Buy

Oct 1, 2026 · Conviction 82

Stop hit Oct 14, 2026
Entry
$1806.54
Target
$2077.52
Stop
$1680.08
Max gain
+3.7%
AMZN

Amazon.com, Inc. · Strong Buy

Oct 1, 2026 · Conviction 81

Open +0.9%
Entry
$247.76
Target
$287.40
Stop
$227.94
Max gain
+6.4%
GE

GE Aerospace · Buy

Oct 1, 2026 · Conviction 83

Stop hit Oct 8, 2026
Entry
$313.46
Target
$344.80
Stop
$297.78
Max gain
+2.5%
JPM

JPMorgan Chase & Co. · Buy

Oct 1, 2026 · Conviction 88

Open +2.4%
Entry
$331.80
Target
$361.66
Stop
$318.53
Max gain
+3.8%

Method: outcomes are computed from daily high/low prices between each pick's publication date and today. A pick counts as “target hit” when any daily high reached its target, and “stop hit” when any daily low touched its stop. If both levels are touched on the same trading day, the pick is conservatively counted as a stop hit. Picks with neither level touched remain open. This record covers every matured pick published between 2026-10-01 and 2026-10-05 — no cherry-picking.

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